Bexley
London Borough· London· All seats up· 45 total seats
Control:Conservative
Control changes from Conservative to no overall control. Conservative projected as largest party with 20 of 45 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 12Proj: 13+1
Conservative
Now: 30Proj: 23-7
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Green
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 0-3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
27.8%
Labour
23.9%
Green
16.9%
Reform
15.1%
Lib Dem
9.5%
Ind/Other
6.8%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge