Bradford
Metropolitan Borough· Yorkshire and The Humber· All seats up· 90 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Reform projected as largest party with 34 of 90 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 47Proj: 25-22
Conservative
Now: 13Proj: 29+16
Lib Dem
Now: 5Proj: 9+4
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 10+10
Green
Now: 10Proj: 11+1
Other/Ind
Now: 15Proj: 6-9
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
24.1%
Conservative
22.1%
Reform
20.9%
Green
14.2%
Lib Dem
10.8%
Ind/Other
7.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge