Coventry
Metropolitan Borough· West Midlands· All seats up· 54 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
West Midlands metro where Reform (25) and Labour (13) compete for control. Conservatives (7) squeezed from both sides.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 40Proj: 26-14
Conservative
Now: 12Proj: 120
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Green
Now: 2Proj: 4+2
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
28.2%
Reform
21.1%
Conservative
20.1%
Green
13.8%
Lib Dem
9.8%
Ind/Other
7.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge