East Sussex County Council
County Council· All seats up· 50 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Southern county where Reform (18) and Lib Dems (13) challenge Conservative (7) control. Three-way contest prevents a clear majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 10+10
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 13+13
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 10+10
Green
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
22.5%
Lib Dem
20.6%
Reform
19.9%
Labour
18.8%
Green
11.1%
Ind/Other
7.1%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge