Gateshead
Metropolitan Borough· North East· All seats up· 66 total seats
Control:Labour
Reform projected at 43 of 66 seats in this north-eastern metro, up from zero. Labour (15) faces its biggest challenge here since the 1970s.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 47Proj: 36-11
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Lib Dem
Now: 18Proj: 4-14
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 19+19
Green
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Other/Ind
Now: 1Proj: 0-1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
28.9%
Reform
24.3%
Conservative
16.0%
Green
13.4%
Lib Dem
10.3%
Ind/Other
7.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge