Hampshire County Council
County Council· All seats up· 78 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Four-way fragmentation prevents any majority: Reform 31, Conservative 13, Lib Dem 17, Labour 12 across 78 seats.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 17+17
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 20+20
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 18+18
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 17+17
Green
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
23.3%
Reform
21.4%
Labour
19.2%
Lib Dem
19.1%
Green
10.2%
Ind/Other
6.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge