Local Elections / Kensington and Chelsea

Kensington and Chelsea

London Borough· London· All seats up· 50 total seats
Control:Conservative

Conservative projected to hold with 26 of 50 seats. Conservative maintains a comfortable margin despite vote share shifts.

Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)

Labour
Now: 8Proj: 13+5
Conservative
Now: 36Proj: 26-10
Lib Dem
Now: 2Proj: 0-2
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 00
Green
Now: 1Proj: 8+7
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 30
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.

Projected Vote Shares

Conservative
30.9%
Labour
24.9%
Green
16.1%
Reform
11.3%
Lib Dem
9.9%
Ind/Other
6.9%

Control Probabilities

Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%

From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.

What to watch

Control contest