Merton
London Borough· London· All seats up· 60 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Remains no overall control. Labour projected as largest party (19/60 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 30Proj: 23-7
Conservative
Now: 7Proj: 14+7
Lib Dem
Now: 17Proj: 16-1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Green
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 0-3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
22.9%
Conservative
21.7%
Lib Dem
19.7%
Green
18.0%
Reform
10.8%
Ind/Other
6.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest