Milton Keynes
Unitary Authority· South East· All seats up· 57 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Reform projected as largest party with 21 of 57 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 30Proj: 27-3
Conservative
Now: 9Proj: 13+4
Lib Dem
Now: 18Proj: 6-12
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Green
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
27.3%
Conservative
22.5%
Reform
19.3%
Green
12.5%
Lib Dem
11.5%
Ind/Other
6.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge