Norwich
Shire District· East of England· By-thirds (1/3 contested)· 39 total seats
Control:Labour
Remains no overall control. Labour projected as largest party (6/13 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 19Proj: 24+5
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Lib Dem
Now: 3Proj: 30
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Green
Now: 15Proj: 6-9
Other/Ind
Now: 2Proj: 0-2
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold. For by-thirds councils, projection covers the 1/3 of seats contested in 2026 overlaid on the existing 2/3.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
30.8%
Conservative
18.1%
Reform
18.1%
Green
15.8%
Lib Dem
10.2%
Ind/Other
7.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest