Nuneaton and Bedworth
Shire District· West Midlands· By-thirds (1/3 contested)· 38 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Remains no overall control. Reform projected as largest party (12/19 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 19Proj: 14-5
Conservative
Now: 17Proj: 11-6
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 11+11
Green
Now: 2Proj: 20
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 00
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold. For by-thirds councils, projection covers the 1/3 of seats contested in 2026 overlaid on the existing 2/3.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
24.6%
Reform
24.6%
Conservative
23.8%
Green
10.6%
Lib Dem
9.5%
Ind/Other
6.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge