Sheffield
Metropolitan Borough· Yorkshire and The Humber· By-thirds (1/3 contested)· 84 total seats
Control:Labour
Remains no overall control. Labour projected as largest party (10/28 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 36Proj: 44+8
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 10+10
Lib Dem
Now: 28Proj: 12-16
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Green
Now: 14Proj: 13-1
Other/Ind
Now: 6Proj: 0-6
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold. For by-thirds councils, projection covers the 1/3 of seats contested in 2026 overlaid on the existing 2/3.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
29.9%
Conservative
18.4%
Green
16.9%
Lib Dem
14.4%
Reform
13.2%
Ind/Other
7.1%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge