South Tyneside
Metropolitan Borough· North East· All seats up· 54 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Reform projected to take control from Labour. Reform wins 29 of 54 contested seats as vote shares shift decisively.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 28Proj: 27-1
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 00
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 15+15
Green
Now: 9Proj: 7-2
Other/Ind
Now: 17Proj: 0-17
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
28.2%
Reform
24.5%
Green
15.4%
Conservative
15.0%
Lib Dem
9.7%
Ind/Other
7.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge