Local Elections / Southwark

Southwark

London Borough· London· All seats up· 63 total seats
Control:Labour

Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Labour projected as largest party with 29 of 63 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.

Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)

Labour
Now: 52Proj: 39-13
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Lib Dem
Now: 11Proj: 7-4
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Green
Now: 0Proj: 11+11
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 00
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.

Projected Vote Shares

Labour
30.5%
Green
20.7%
Conservative
16.6%
Lib Dem
14.2%
Reform
11.0%
Ind/Other
7.2%

Control Probabilities

Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%

From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.

What to watch

Control contest