Suffolk County Council
County Council· All seats up· 70 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Third eastern county where Reform challenges Conservative hegemony. Reform projected at 32 of 70 seats; Conservatives drop from 50 to 9.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 19+19
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 17+17
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 18+18
Green
Now: 0Proj: 7+7
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
23.1%
Conservative
22.8%
Labour
22.3%
Green
14.5%
Lib Dem
10.5%
Ind/Other
6.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge