Sutton
London Borough· London· All seats up· 54 total seats
Control:Liberal Democrats→Conservative
Control changes from Liberal Democrat to no overall control. Conservative projected as largest party with 25 of 54 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 2Proj: 6+4
Conservative
Now: 21Proj: 29+8
Lib Dem
Now: 28Proj: 13-15
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Green
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Other/Ind
Now: 4Proj: 40
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
28.9%
Lib Dem
23.0%
Labour
16.4%
Reform
13.4%
Green
11.0%
Ind/Other
7.3%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest