Wakefield
Metropolitan Borough· Yorkshire and The Humber· All seats up· 63 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Reform projected to take control from Labour. Reform wins 43 of 63 contested seats as vote shares shift decisively.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 54Proj: 30-24
Conservative
Now: 3Proj: 7+4
Lib Dem
Now: 2Proj: 3+1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 20+20
Green
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Other/Ind
Now: 4Proj: 1-3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
28.7%
Reform
25.8%
Conservative
17.7%
Green
10.9%
Lib Dem
9.8%
Ind/Other
7.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge