Walsall
Metropolitan Borough· West Midlands· All seats up· 60 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Reform projected to take control from Conservative. Reform wins 33 of 60 contested seats as vote shares shift decisively.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 12Proj: 20+8
Conservative
Now: 37Proj: 21-16
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Green
Now: 0Proj: 00
Other/Ind
Now: 11Proj: 3-8
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Labour
24.9%
Conservative
24.4%
Reform
23.2%
Green
10.7%
Lib Dem
9.7%
Ind/Other
7.1%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge