West Sussex County Council
County Council· All seats up· 70 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Conservative bastion under pressure. Reform (26) rises from zero while Lib Dems (16) hold their ground, squeezing Con from 11 seats.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 16+16
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 17+17
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 18+18
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 14+14
Green
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
22.6%
Reform
20.6%
Labour
20.3%
Lib Dem
19.1%
Green
10.5%
Ind/Other
6.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge